After seven weeks of running our Viral Video Prediction Chart we've decided to add a couple of extra components. First we're adding Vine and Instagram to our definition of video (hopefully not too controversial a decision) and we'll count them as viral if they double their shares within the next 7 days. Then we're currently using Unruly Media’s viral video chart, which ranks the top videos, Vines and Instagrams in terms of shares globally as our statistical reference. Now we've also decided to reference the increase in the total video views gained during the week of prediction to the videos too.
So now we regard a video as 'viral' if it at the point of prediction has less than 250,000 total shares and doubles or more the number of shares - OR doubles the total views in 7 days as at Monday 12.00 noon GMT/BST each week. We've decided that the increase in the number of views is also a fair indicator of the views gained by sharing, especially in Facebook where some influencers massively increase views without any further sharing. For example look at the number of views last week's videos achieved all time:
Results for Predictions on April 22nd 2014
#1 Hilarious SWA Flight attendant- In Mid Life Crisis MUST meet Ellen and Jimmy Fallon!! - Over 11 million views
#2 Orange Is The New Black - Season 2 - Official Trailer - Over 7 million views
#3 Three Men vs. Fifteen Hungry Lions - Human Planet, Grasslands, Preview - BBC One - Almost 4 million views
#4 Gareth Bale's Brilliant Winning Goal #SCtop10 - Almost 3 million views
#5 Kiss The Girl In Real Life - Almost 3 million views
Viral Video / Vine / Instagram Predictions for the Coming Week
#1 Justin Bieber (Feat. Jaden Smith) Never Say Never - (106,489 shares to date - 1,001,346 views)
It's Justin and Jaden.
#2 Burj Khalifa Pinnacle BASE Jump - 4K (80,045 shares to date - 4,988,456 views)
Vertigo sufferers look away now....
#3 arianagrande's video on Instagram - 85,478 shares to date
Right artist - right song - right channel!
#4 X-Men: Days of Future Past | X-Men X-Perience Announcement (74,907 shares to date and 101, 345 views)
X-Men: Days of Future Past stars Hugh Jackman, James McAvoy and Michael Fassbender announce the global X-Men X-Perience! What more can I say?
#5 Anyone else have that one parent that sneezes too damn loud? (Vine - 61,555 shares to date)
Toddlers are always falling over and occasionally it's worth sharing.
Want to add your prediction to the list? - please be our guest below. Thanks to our friends at Unruly for the data.